Conventional approaches to loss, unfortunately, don’t offer much hope for the future of Gaza. The UNFCCC definition of Loss and Damage, for example, provides a technocratic and monetized approach to risk management that seeks to calculate the costs of climate change in terms of unrecoverable loss (of human and animal lives, species, territories, water sources, ecosystems, livelihoods, heritage sites, and languages) and reparable damage (to physical and mental health, schools, homes, health centers, and infrastructure).52 Yet by constricting climate impacts to the results of generically defined “human activities,” and specifically those “primarily due to the burning of fossil fuels,” the UNFCCC proves inadequate for accounting for the climate violence of extractive capitalism, colonial dispossession, and military destruction—the necessary scope for any comprehensive understanding of climate catastrophe in Gaza.53 This is despite the more ambitious definitions of losses and damages offered in IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) science and independent research, as well as in claims from many countries in the Global South (such as Haiti, Sudan, and Bolivia) about how carbon colonialism, debt burdens, and geopolitical conflict produce and exacerbate climate vulnerability. Still, even in reference to standard definitions of climate change, the US and other developed countries have consistently blocked, and continue to block any proposal—in Palestine or anywhere else—to deliver Loss and Damage finance at the scale needed to meaningfully provide reparations, owing to fears of being held liable for the destruction caused by their historic emissions.54 In doing so, they have rejected any accounting for climate impacts that speaks to the all-embracing nature of climate violence.
Meanwhile, the case of Gaza makes starkly clear how “Eurocentric hegemony, neocolonialism, racial capitalism, uneven consumption, and military domination are co-constitutive of climate impacts experienced by variously racialized populations who are disproportionally made vulnerable and disposable,” as Farhana Sultana explains.55 This mirrors the views of critical Indigenous researchers such as Kyle Powys Whyte, who argues that “loss and damage” must necessarily account for how “settler states have inflicted anthropogenic environmental change (including anthropogenic climate change) on Indigenous Peoples in a number of ways through the political relations of settler colonialism.”56 Considered in this light, the current Loss and Damage policy framework offers a poor substitute for more comprehensive proposals for compensation and liability, let alone transformative justice and climate reparations.
Any meaningful approach to climate reparations for Gaza surely must first end the violence of “climate colonialism” (including genocidal war) and “climate apartheid,” where powerful elites, according to Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò’s analysis, insulate themselves from the devastation they themselves cause.57 Indeed, in his view, “the connection between climate crisis, slavery, and colonialism flows from distributions of wealth and vulnerability created by centuries of global politics and its ecological consequences, layered with more recent histories of pollution in the Global North and corporate fossil fuel interests.”58 These follow patterns of imperial violence targeting the most vulnerable and least resourced, subjecting them to oppressive policing and military force whenever they resist. Offering an ambitious antidote to narrow technocratic climate policy, Táíwò’s “constructive view” of climate reparations seeks to restore morality to social relationships, spread the conditions of equality (including by securing access to food, water, shelter, energy, and healthcare for all), and build a just transition toward a future of equity and universal liberation. For him, these components arc toward the ultimate horizon of reparations as a forward-thinking worldbuilding project: “global justice” (where climate justice is indivisible from racial justice), enacted through a “just distribution” of material resources, forming “a global community thoroughly structured by non-domination.”59
The opposite of such a project is occurring in Gaza, which is precisely the problem with current policy recommendations. Without addressing Gaza’s catastrophic situation as a territory long besieged by Israeli settler colonialism, current plans for “post-conflict” Gaza’s “recovery and reconstruction” appear poised to return the area to the prevailing conditions prior to October 7, 2023. Indeed, given the logic of the World Bank, EU, and UN–sponsored Gaza Strip Interim Damage Assessment published on March 29, 2024, such a post-ceasefire scenario is already taking shape and largely in support of Israel’s annexationist interests.60 While the report details the massive destruction in Gaza—including the colossal loss of life and the damage to Gaza’s social, physical, and productive infrastructure and environment, totaling $18.5 billion, equivalent to 97 percent of the West Bank and Gaza’s GDP in 2022, according to World Bank estimates—it neither assigns culpability for the massive destruction nor names any nation responsible for the reconstruction. Even if politics were favorable and funds available for reconstruction (according to current proposals, these would likely be financed by loans that would increase Palestinian debt and inflict further injustice), the time required to rebuild Gaza, according to UN research, would take approximately eighty years (and would also release substantial carbon emissions).61
What does a prospective “recovery” mean if it enables the continuation of social violence, colonial enclosure, and mass killing, the ongoing landgrabs and illegal annexations in the West Bank, and the ongoing erasure of Palestinian political agency—none of which are mentioned in the assessment? Without acknowledging the fundamental causes of the most recent tragedy, such a proposal can only mean the renormalization of climate coloniality.62 Indeed, even prior to 2023, it was recognized that Gaza was in a state of climate emergency: “The catastrophic climate crisis is fueled by global inequality and engineered by complicit governments and corporations that put profit before people and planet. Everywhere, the least powerful are the most affected,” Abeer Butmeh argued in Al Jazeera in 2019. With multinational corporations like AXA and HSBC investing in arming Israel and extractive corporations pillaging Palestinian land and natural resources, 97 percent of Gaza’s polluted water was deemed unfit for human consumption, leading the UN to warn that the territory had become “unlivable” even then.63
Matters may get still worse. Starting in 2022, and alongside the last year of destroying Gaza, Israel has become a fossil fuel exporter, supplying Germany and other EU states with stolen gas and crude oil from the Karish and Leviathan offshore gas fields.64 To exploit these resources (and justify its actions with claims of mitigating the global energy crisis sparked by NATO’s proxy war in Ukraine), Israel has agreements with BP, the same company that first discovered oil in the Middle East and built the Kirkuk–Haifa pipeline in the 1930s, and Chevron, a corporation accused of ecocide and genocide worldwide, which fuels and profits from Israeli apartheid and war and climate crimes.65 In fact, Israel’s destruction of Gaza and Israel’s fossil-fuel extractivism are deeply intertwined. And yet it is ultimately this geopolitical arrangement that dominant policy frameworks on loss and damage are paradoxically set to reinforce. While Israel has always represented an outpost of Western expansionist fossil capitalism—functioning as a geostrategic extension of Western interests and military security in the Middle Eastern region since 194866—it continues to use Palestine as a laboratory for weapons research, military technology development, and live-action testing, including to securitize its fossil reserves and market its security tech worldwide.
These developments should concern all of us, no matter where we live, no matter our religion or ethnicity (including in the US, which prioritizes funding Israel’s war machine over critical domestic investment in the public good). This is because, in Israel’s destruction of Gaza, we confront not only the horrors of the intertwinement of genocide and ecocide, but also, as Antony Loewenstein points out in his important book The Palestine Laboratory, an “exportable model of domination” for an emerging world fortified by high-tech security and AI surveillance and all manner of new weapons—in part responding to the kind of geopolitical insecurity Israel has caused—a growth industry that will be worth $68 billion by 2025.67 Israeli cyberweapons corporations, such as Elbit Systems, a tech firm that built Israel’s apartheid wall and is currently contracted to expand the US’s southern border wall, are positioned to be among the main economic beneficiaries. New military and security technologies are “battle tested” on Palestinian lives and lands, deployed in repeated attacks on Lebanon and Syria to defend new occupations and landgrabs, and distributed through multi-billion-dollar neoliberal markets to repressive governments worldwide.
Ominously, if we believe the words of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, the future belongs not to liberal democracy, as US President Barack Obama once defined it—a multicultural world of tolerance, equal rights, and the rule of law—but to authoritarian ethnonationalism, enabled by neoliberal trade and technological might, as produced by Israel.68 This points to the ultimate pending loss and damage threatened by the situation of Gaza: the end of the liberal democratic multilateral world order as we know it (with all of its current flaws). The only response to this global existential threat is for us all to join the rising struggle against continued destruction in Gaza, and in support of anti-imperialism, decolonization, and abolition everywhere. “If we are to move forward,” as Tareq Baconi argues, “we must center Palestine in the broader project of decolonizing international law and dismantling systems of global hegemony.”69 That means, as Rashid Khalidi argues, ending the occupation and reversing the colonization of Palestinian lands; or establishing a Palestinian state with Arab East Jerusalem as its capital; or, most ambitiously, creating a democratic, sovereign binational state in all of Palestine with radical equality for all; or some blend of all these options.70 Palestinian liberation—including the rights of return and self-determination, both enshrined in UN resolutions, and reparations for land and property lost to generations of refugees—is the immediate horizon. This would be real climate reparation, and through it, peace and collective liberation.